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Cake day: June 30th, 2023

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  • A concerning amount of investor money in the market is riding on the wellbeing of a few big tech companies. And it got that way because the absurd valuations of those companies is built on speculation that AI will change the economy and company X will benefit from that for reason Y. When it becomes clear that either AI will not change the economy or that company X will not benefit greatly from said changes, that valuation will pop and investor assets will lose value. I’d call that a bubble


  • Putting aside the hypothetical about which side benefitted more from appeasement, what’s the equivalent here? Give Trump everything he wants and hope that he let’s you still have an honest election in 2026? 2028? Hope that he leaves office after two terms when his biggest projects seem to be adding jets and ballrooms to his taste? Hope that he keeps over and dies? And what are you willing to give up for those hopes? Martial law in Chicago? An NYC mayor who’s more focused on feeling up his secretaries than on addressing the cost of living crisis? Mass deportation of American citizens? Forced and intentional starvation of American citizens? Destruction and corporate capture of our federal institutions? Obliteration of the rule of law? Continued support for genocide in the Middle East and abandonment of our allies in Europe and across the globe? Where’s your Poland and what are you trading Czechoslovakia for?



  • I think Graham Platner, if you take his word for what is in his past and present political mindsets, would be an example of a right-to-left swing, but not done as a politician. Shaun on YouTube is another one that comes to mind potentially, depending on how old he is for whether that qualifies as an under age 25. In the US at least, we don’t really have a strong left wing to draw in people looking for a change, so most of those conversions are happening less in the public sphere and more in corners of the internet, where it hasn’t been enshittified to ensure even those spaces are dominated by tight wing narratives




  • Correlation, but not perfect. Largely because most of the Union stayed, so you get states like North Dakota that was part of a Union territory but a red state. That and Appalachia (e.g. West Virginia, Ohio) swung pretty hard from the union cause to the confederates thanks to coal baron propaganda and the erosion of union power in the post Regan era. The confederate states are almost all red though, with the only current exception being Virginia and varying degrees of hope for near future conversions in Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas







  • Narratives like this support DOGE’s actions. The GS-5 working for your local national park is not your enemy, it’s the multi billionaires that used their influence to kill the child tax credit in 2022 to fund a tax cut for them in 2025 that are the problem here. Ilhan’s bill focuses on government employees because it is a messaging bill in a government shutdown environment and because it keeps the bill simple, the government already has mechanisms for OMB to reimburse government employees for eligible expenses, so this is just directing that infrastructure to add a category to the list of eligible expenses as opposed to creating any new systems or changing the tax code. It’s not even close to a final step, but it helps some workers, and that’s better than the current trend of the government stepping on workers in favor of billionaires