I don’t understand why tech companies are investing so much in AI. Are there any industries that show real promise in terms of revenue or power?
From my perspective it all just seems a bit “kind of useful”, not justifying the expense.
The purpose of AI is to allow the wealthy to access the benefits of the talented, while preventing the talented from accessing the benefits of wealth.
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The business class has been promised they can cut workers and use AI instead, which has been their dream since forever.
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AI has been shown to deskill workers. Experts lose their skills, new workers don’t gain new skills. Then the owners of AI can rent skills back to people at a profit.
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If businesses can deskill and fire enough workers, they can take advantage to reinstate things like scrip and slavery.
You rightfully notice that AI isn’t useful enough for businesses to throw an entire civilization worth of money at because you’re thinking about it as a tool, but it’s not a tool, it’s a weapon. A weapon pointed at you and me.
A fantastic summary.
Addendum to #2: to add insult to injury, a lot of the training data in AI models was used without consent. That means that the output of skilled people was stolen from them in order to train systems designed to steal from them again.
The enclosure of the commons. All of this has happened before. All of this will happen again.
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To culturally associate tech workers as low skilled and low paid so that worker leverage can be reduced.
The strategy has succeeded spectacularly even though AI is mostly a scam and will never replace skilled human tech workers, just help rationalize dehumanizing them.
Are you refering to the companies adopting AI into the workflow or the AI companies themselves investing billions into developing these models?
In the latter case they’re trying to rush towards AGI because who ever gets there first will have their investments paid back millionfold and the one placing second gets nothing.
I find it stilly that they’re still relying on LLMs for the prospect of AGI. It never was and never will be more than a clumsy autocorrect.
I’ve seen this one a few times and it’s puzzled me a bit for a while now, I don’t think anyone in these companies think iterating on an LLM model alone is going to give them AGI
You only have to look at how Claude Code has taken off in the past 6 months. Sure the model is a big factor, but it’s the tooling built on top of it that makes it useful and disruptive. The model is what enabled the utility, when attached to conventionally engineered tooling.
Whenever the first AGI is created, an LLM will 100% be part of the implementation, it’s just more than a one piece puzzle
I’ve seen this one a few times and it’s puzzled me a bit for a while now, I don’t think anyone in these companies think iterating on an LLM model alone is going to give them AGI
When Sam Altman and other techbros say that their LLMs will be AGI any minute now and the stocks keep going up then yes, they do believe it.
Yes, LLMs will be the way to present output in a human sounding format from some other AI implementation that is consistent and reliable. That isn’t what is currently in the works though, they are just throwing more and more resources at LLMs as if the techbros were right.
ai is just the first step. step three is profit.
It has already revolutionized software development. As my friend put it:
On the subject of claude code, I went to a high-level founder talk about code ai and the general consensus was that CEOs were telling their staff 100% of code must be written by an agent within 6 months or they have to leave the company. And all the focus was switching on to how you verify, for example, a 15000 line PR written entirely by AI.
100% of my own code is now written by AI. I’ve been programming for 20 years - I can write code myself, but the AI is so much faster than I could possibly be that managing it is far more productive. It makes mistakes, but so do humans.
AI reliance makes worse programmers. AI makes people dumber and less skilled.
There’s certainly an adjustment period - I’m still learning how to use AI effectively and so is the industry as a whole. The technology is so new and the state of the art is evolving so quickly that there are no established best practices yet.
However, I think that in the long term, assuming human programmers remain relevant at all, we’ll adapt like we did to the development of high-level programming languages. That paradigm shift happened before I was born so I can’t speak from experience, but my impression is that the meaning of being a programmer changed.
Modern programmers are less skilled in some ways, in the sense that most can’t write assembly code, but they also have new skills for working with high level languages that make them significantly more productive overall.
I guess they just need to pray for 100% accuracy before you retire. There’s going to be a massive issue if hallucinations still exist and we expect software engineers to review AI code, but no one knows how to code anymore or no JR devs were ever hired again to gain experience.
But that’s a nice can we can kick down the road for future us to deal with. There’s money to be made now so fuck the future.
/Wrist
I hope I have 30 years until I retire, but given how rapid progress has been, I’m worried about whether or not I’ll still have a job in just a tenth of that time. The technology is just a few years old and already so powerful that my bet is that current limitations will be overcome. (And the goal isn’t 100% accuracy, because humans don’t have 100% accuracy.)
The CEOs are getting paid. In America, that’s the only thing that matters.
AI is the shiny new tech and investors are more worried about missing out on “the next big thing” than they areabout pissing away a few billion dollars. For investors at that level, it’s all a game of numbers. If they invest a billion dollars in 20 different things, and 19 of those things fail, but one has a return of 100 billion dollars, that’s a win.
Sure, there is no guarantee that AI will pan out. But, that’s a very hard thing to determine ahead of time. Everyone thought e-commerce would pay off big in the 90’s/00’s. And it did, for a few companies (Google, Amazon). The rest got slaughtered and we got the dot-com bubble. Then folks expected Crypto currencies, EFTs and NFTs to pay off big. Mostly, that didn’t happen, though they do thrive in a few places. Again, investors just wanted to ride that profit wave.
In short, investments are all about making money. And at a sufficient scale, it’s not about picking winners or losers, it’s about picking everything and making sure the wins from the winners cover the losses from the losers.
Tech companies like MS, Meta, Google and Amazon bought a lot if the infrastructure for the internet over the years. In order to monetize this, they need people and companies to generate data traffic. Before they were pushing stuff like block chain and cloud services, AI is the next thing they’re focussing on. At the same time there’s the pumping around of investments like between NVidia, OpenAI and Oracle to artificially inflate stock value. So, in short, it’s all about hoarding money.
They own infinite shovels and are too incompetent to figure out what use digging holes is to people.
“You can fire like most of your expensive staff who have real leverage and only be noticably worse”
LLMs are another (large) step in the broad trend of concentrating more power in fewer hands that has been going on since late mesolithic food storage tech.
Most things that we’ve lionized as technological breakthroughs since the end of the ice age ~20kya have been power-concentration tools.
Money laundering for billionaires.
It has one potential use: to increase profits by replacing the jobs of millions of millions of workers. That is the sole reason that these C-Suite Executives are excited about, not considering the fact that their jobs are among the easiest to replace by AI.
Unfortunately there are a lot of answers that aren’t really properly explaining why and just taking the opportunity to piss on AI…
LLMs (the currently hyped form of AI) is seen by many as the “next big thing”. And honestly, it’s not surprising. LLMs are impressive. They’re the closest we’ve ever gotten to mimicking human behavior. A lot of us have seen a lot of LLM-generated stuff and are sick of it, but think back to the first time you saw or heard an LLM string together sentences that are grammatically not gibberish, and in many cases quite coherent. That’s already enough to spark interest from companies and investors.
And the development isn’t stopping, at least not in the next while. Even in the last few years LLMs have noticeably improved. And the question is: where does it go from here? There’s definitely a scenario where this whole thing is a bubble that pops at some point, 90% of the things the current use cases for LLMs disappear as pointless, and we’re left with the remaining 10% that actually help people. But there’s also a scenario where LLMs improve to the point where they can vastly improve productivity. There’s definitely precedent - think computer and Internet or steam engines. And in those cases, those who got in at the right time made a lot of money. Think of the railroad barons and today’s tech companies. There were people then who said “why do we need all this, it’s terribly unreliable and not worth the expense”, as well. The flip side of this is: there are many people who thought other technologies would be really successful who turned out to be completely wrong, think blimps and Google Glass (stories which, by the way, are often quickly forgotten since they are, in hindsight, irrelevant). That’s one part of the answer.
The other part of the answer is that in the long term, there’s generally an increase of productivity, and companies try to outcompete each other. It’s nothing new - companies who were able to use the Internet to be more efficient, for instance, survived much better than those who didn’t. The companies who used steam engines to decrease the costs survived much better than those who didn’t. So, naturally, if companies see something they might be able to use to become more efficient, they do what they can to adopt it before everyone else. (Who should profit from those efficiencies is an entirely different question.)
And that’s really the problem: it’s hard to know exactly where this whole thing is going. After all the hype dies down I see some use cases, improving search results being one of the main ones, or improving the auto complete functions so we can use them much better than we currently do. I don’t see the current environment with AI chatbots being offered at every corner as sustainable or something that will last. But I could also be wrong. You generally never know it 100% for sure when you’re in a bubble, you only know for sure when the bubble pops.





