I don’t know if I’m going crazy but looking at the current situation in the world … please tell me that I’m overexagurating

  • jsomae@lemmy.ml
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    2 days ago

    There are bad things happening in the world, conflicts, ecological disasters, economic upheavels, and political upheavals. It’s easy to look at these bad things and assume things are much worse than they are. Nobody wants there to be a world war 3.

  • Auli@lemmy.ca
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    2 days ago

    1 to 2 years no. Next decade sure. The super powers are isolating themselves as their economies become less entwined I expect something to happen.

  • HellsBelle@sh.itjust.works
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    2 days ago

    When Trump was elected again I spent about 3 weeks living with an existential dread I’ve never in my life felt before.

    Whenever it happens, it is coming.

  • guy@piefed.social
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    2 days ago

    You are probably overexaggerating.
    There are increased conflicts over the world but no signs of a world war.

    First there are no willing candidates for it. Not even Russia which is engaged in a war is willing to make the push to engage NATO, which is the closest to a world war we would get.
    Neither is Iran willing to go into war which was very obvious after their actions when Israel made ample opportunities for them to escalate conflict.
    And for China… well war is bad for business, and China really likes doing business.

    However the US with Trump at the helm. 🤷 Who the fuck knows. Maybe not world war but I am adding military occupation of Panama and Greenland to my bingo just in case.

  • bradorsomething@ttrpg.network
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    3 days ago

    I am personally looking for a few things that will concern me about escalation:

    • Japan and Finland making active land claims to Russia (actively reoccupying disputed land with troops)

    • Europe putting peace keepers in Western Ukraine (which will create a casus belli for war with Russia), specifically France and the UK. I mean, Poland as well, but if Poland says they are putting peacekeeping troops in Ukraine, Russia should either back off or assume war.

    • South Korean troops in Ukraine. (Ridiculous given their current chaos, but stranger things have happened in the last year).

    Other than that, the russian frog has been very well boiled for 3 years. Even China has probably gone back to the drawing board on a taiwan invasion, and added a delay until 10 millions drones are available.

    I do have concerns trump will pull the us back in europe, making the second item above possible if not likely. The first trump presidency shook us primacy in europe, and the second may see it start to unravel. If europe has to take russia alone, the us should consider china a personal problem from now on (as well as any other concerns not near europe), as no one will see value in going to war with a fair-weather ally.

    • Lorindól@sopuli.xyz
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      2 days ago

      Finland won’t make any claims. This much is certain.

      The only way we would even consider restoring the stolen lands would be IF the Russian Federation falls and IF the initiative for reunification would come from the Karelian Republic.

    • guy@piefed.social
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      2 days ago

      <i>Finland making active land claims to Russia (actively reoccupying disputed land with troops)</i>

      I can guarantee you that there is no territory the Finns would try to reclaim from Russia. The Continuation war pretty much sated any future thought to regain territory seized by the Soviet Union

  • Hexadecimalkink@lemmy.ml
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    3 days ago

    I think it il depend on the military industrial complex in the USA and whether they decide to off Trump or not. If Trump goes isolationist then they’ll probably merc him. If he invades Panama and starts a hot war with Iran then there probably won’t be a world war (ironically). If China invades Taiwan and the US blinks then there won’t be a world war. If the US attacks China for taking over Taiwan then we’ll be in a world war.

  • 小莱卡@lemmygrad.ml
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    3 days ago

    You’re not overexagerating, the property crisis in the imperial core is becoming so severe that there are only 2 solutions, either the people rebel against its ruling class or they side with them and engage in yet another settler project. In my honest opinion, the latter seems like the most probably outcome, its already very advanced in Palestine and its starting in Syria.

  • gandalf_der_12te@discuss.tchncs.de
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    3 days ago

    I don’t think so.

    Primarily because there’s not economic benefit in it for the ruling class.

    Also, we’ve made the experience of the war in the middle east around 2000 where the USA couldn’t even occupy a farmer’s state for more than a couple years.

    I don’t think anybody realistically thinks they can take over another (big) country in this time.

    • dx1@lemmy.ml
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      3 days ago

      Primarily because there’s not economic benefit in it for the ruling class.

      Our history of perpetual war seems to disprove this

  • Wes4Humanity@lemm.ee
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    3 days ago

    So, WW3 won’t happen until the oligarchy says it’s time. Not sure why now would be the time, but I suppose it could be. There’s like a billion people in the world making a dollar a day, a few billion people only making a few dollars a day… That’s a few billion dollars per day the oligarchy almost certainly thinks belongs in their pocket instead. So I could see them continuing to squeeze the world for every last drop of wealth, which I think will cause unrest in a lot of places. Add climate change to that and I think things just get bad everywhere for most people. Obviously the oligarchy will just go to their islands, yachts, bunkers until a few billion are dead and they can pop back out with their private armies ready to “save” the world.

    A lot of people think they need us to buy their trinkets, but the entire consumer middle class is only like 100 years old, and I think was only designed to keep us distracted while they plundered the world. Now that a small handful of people own everything, and soon enough robots and AI will replace most human labor, it’s mission accomplished and we can go back to feudalism where they are gods and everyone else is slaves.

  • folaht@lemmy.ml
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    3 days ago

    I would say world war is still years away, but if SK in your name means slovakia then comfort yourself that you might find yourself in the early BRICS block vs US empire wars, so hopefully it’ll be over without too much war in your country soon.